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  2. From: s.c.thai-faq@nwg.nectec.or.th (soc.culture.thai FAQ maintainer)
  3. Newsgroups: soc.culture.thai,soc.answers,news.answers
  4. Subject: soc.culture.thai Figures FAQ part 1
  5. Supersedes: <sctfaq-figures-1_762654941@nwg.nectec.or.th>
  6. Followup-To: soc.culture.thai
  7. Date: 1 Apr 1994 20:30:42 +0700
  8. Organization: Academic and research support host at NECTEC, Bangkok, THAILAND
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  16. Summary: This posting contains numerical information for the
  17.          soc.culture.thai newsgroup.
  18. Xref: bloom-beacon.mit.edu soc.culture.thai:15969 soc.answers:1048 news.answers:17157
  19.  
  20. Archive-name: thai/figures/part1
  21. Soc-culture-thai-archive-name: figures/part1
  22. Version: $Id: sctfaq-figures-1,v 1.3 1994/03/29 13:38:57 trin Exp trin $
  23.  
  24. The "soc.culture.thai Frequently Asked Questions" periodic postings are
  25. divided into 5 parts plus an index. Requests for inclusion, correction
  26. or update can be made by posting a public message or follow-up to this
  27. FAQ.
  28.  
  29. The current release of these FAQs can be fetched by anonymous FTP from
  30. rtfm.mit.edu (or its mirror sites) under directories:
  31.    /pub/usenet/news.answers/thai
  32.    /pub/usenet/soc.answers/thai
  33.    /pub/usenet/soc.culture.thai
  34. or accessed via World-wide Web at URL:
  35.   http://www.nectec.or.th/soc.culture.thai/master.html
  36.  
  37. The working copy of this FAQ can be anonymous FTP from ftp.nectec.or.th
  38. (192.150.251.32) in directory /pub/info/soc.culture.thai-faq.
  39.  
  40. TABLE OF CONTENTS
  41.  
  42. NUMERICAL FAQ PART 1 (figures-1)
  43. Numerical aspects of Thailand
  44.  
  45.   * Demography
  46.   F.1)  Census 
  47.   * Economic indicators
  48.   F.2)  Thailand's key economic indicators
  49.   F.3)  Is the economy recovering?
  50.   F.4)  Direction of Trade 1992 (million baht)
  51.   F.5)  Four months' top exports
  52.   F.6)  Banks awarded Bangkok International Banking Facilities licenses
  53.   F.7)  Budget allocation
  54.   F.8)  Budget structure
  55.   F.9)  Current megaprojects
  56.   * Economic forecasts
  57.   F.10) Economic forecasts
  58.   F.11) Education levels
  59.   F.12) Education of the workforce
  60.   F.13) Growth rate of value added of services at constant 1972 prices
  61.   F.14) Growth rate of value added of GDP at constant 1972 prices
  62.   F.15) Growth rate of agricultural added value at constant 1972 prices
  63.   F.16) Growth rate of industrial value added at constant 1972 prices
  64.   F.17) Regional GDP (GRP) growth
  65.   F.18) Population growth rate by gender
  66.   F.19) Electricity generating capacity for each consumer group
  67.   F.20) Tourism targets
  68.   F.21) Tourist forecast
  69.   * Business
  70.   F.22) Domestic Computer Market 
  71.  
  72. ----------------------------------------------------------------------
  73.  
  74. NUMERICAL ASPECTS OF THAILAND
  75.  
  76. This part describes numbers related to Thailand. List of additional
  77. sources for economic information of Thailand is available for anonymous
  78. FTP from ftp.nectec.or.th as the file sources-of-Thailand-info.txt in
  79. directory /pub/info/soc.culture.thai-faq/SCTinfo/econ-stats. This list
  80. is maintained by Peter Beal (bealp@morakot.nectec.or.th).
  81.  
  82. ------------------------------
  83.  
  84. F.1)  Census
  85.  
  86. On July 1 1993, Thailand had:
  87.                                                         ('000)
  88. 1) Total population                                     58,120
  89. 2) Gender distribution
  90.         Male                                            29,043
  91.         Female                                          29,077
  92. 3) Urban population                                     17,855
  93. 4) Rural population                                     40,265
  94. 5) Geographical distribution
  95.         North                                            9,445
  96.         Northeast                                       19,592
  97.         South                                            7,108
  98.         Central/East (excl. Bangkok Metro)              14,518
  99.         Bangkok Metro                                    7,457
  100. 6) Age distribution
  101.         less than 15                                    16,738
  102.         15 thru 59                                      37,139
  103.         60 and above                                     4,243
  104.         6 thru 21                                       19,435
  105.         20 and above                                    35,343
  106.         Female 14 thru 44                               15,004
  107. 7) Crude birth rate (per 1000)                  17.4
  108. 8) Crude death rate (per 1000)                   5.9
  109. 9) Natural increase rate of population (%)      1.15
  110. 10) Infant mortality (per 1000)                 35.5
  111. 11) Life expectancy at birth
  112.         Male                                    66.4
  113.         Female                                  71.8
  114. 12) Life expectancy at age 60
  115.         Male                                    17.9
  116.         Female                                  21.2
  117. 13) Average children/woman                       2.2
  118. 14) Birth control (%)                           75.0
  119. 15) Estimated population in B.E.2555 (2012 A.D.)        71,310
  120.  
  121. Source: Journal of Population, Institute of Population and Social
  122.         Research, Mahidol University. October 1993.
  123.  
  124. ------------------------------
  125.  
  126. Figures are taken from Bangkok Post Economic Review: Mid-Year 1993. August
  127. 1993.
  128.  
  129. F.2)  Thailand's key economic indicators
  130.  
  131. =============================================================================
  132.                                         1988    1989    1990    1991   1992P
  133. -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
  134. Population (million persons)           54.96   55.89   56.30   56.96   57.62
  135. GDP
  136. Real GDP at 1972 prices (% change)      13.2    12.0    10.0     8.2     7.4
  137.   Agriculture                           10.2     6.6    -3.7     4.5     3.5
  138.   Noagriculture                         13.9    13.1    12.7     8.8     8.1
  139. GDP at current prices (bt bn)        1,507.0 1,776.0 2,086.8 2,387.3 2,671.4
  140.   % change                              20.3    17.9    17.5    14.4    11.9
  141. Per capita GNP (baht)                 27,179  31,608  36,637  41,330  45,619
  142.  
  143. Inflation                                3.8     5.4     6.0     5.7     4.1
  144.  
  145. External sector (bt bn)
  146. Exports                                399.2   509.9   583.2   720.5   816.5
  147.   % change                              33.9    27.7    14.4    23.5    13.3
  148. Imports                                500.4   650.1   838.3   967.8 1,031.0
  149.   % change                              46.2    29.9    29.0    15.5     6.5
  150. Trade balance                         -101.2  -140.2  -255.1  -247.3  -214.5
  151. Current account balance                -41.0   -65.0  -186.2  -193.3  -169.9
  152.   As % of GDP                           -2.7    -3.7    -8.9    -8.1    -6.4
  153. Capital movements (net)                 72.7   152.2   206.9   294.7   200.0
  154.   Private sector                        74.1   159.9   238.6   268.7   197.0
  155.   Public sector                         -1.4    -7.7   -31.7    26.0     3.0
  156. Overall balance of payments             40.5   111.5    57.0   112.4    29.7
  157. International reserves ($ bn)            7.1    10.5    14.3    18.4    21.2
  158. Total outstanding debt[1]               17.9    19.4    25.1    33.3    37.6
  159.   Public debt                           12.6    11.8    11.5    12.8    13.5
  160. Debt service ratio                      12.9    10.6     9.1     9.8    10.3
  161.   Public sector                          7.7     5.8     5.0     4.2     3.5
  162.  
  163. Public Finance (fiscal year)
  164. Cash balance[2] (bt bn)                 30.2    59.3   103.3   123.7    85.9
  165.   As % of GDP                            2.0     3.3     5.0     5.2     3.2
  166.  
  167. Money and banking[3]
  168. Money supply (M2, bt bn)               956.1 1,207.1 1,529.1 1,832.4 2,117.8
  169.   % change                              18.2    26.3    26.7    19.8    15.6
  170. Domestic credit (% change)              15.6    19.8    26.9    15.5    18.3
  171.   Private credit (% change)             27.0    29.8    33.3    20.8    20.6
  172. Deposit[4] (% change)                   19.0    26.8    27.5    21.4    16.2
  173. Interest rates, at year-end
  174.   Prime rate                            12.0   12.5-  16.25-    14.0    11.5
  175.                                                 13.5    16.5
  176.   Time deposit (1-year)                7.75-     9.5   13.0-    10.5     8.5
  177.                                          9.5            15.5
  178. Exchange rate (annual average)
  179. Baht:US$ (Exchange Equalization Fund)  25.29   25.70   25.59   25.52   25.40
  180.  
  181. Notes: 1. Including short-term debt.
  182.        2. Including non-budgetary balance, but excluding disbursement from
  183.           SAL 1 and 2.
  184.        3. Excluding the Government Savings Bank. That of the Bank of
  185.           Thailand includes the account of the Exchange Equalization Fund.
  186.        4. Excluding inter-bank deposit and foreign currency deposit.
  187.        P = preliminary figures
  188. =============================================================================
  189.  
  190. ------------------------------
  191.  
  192. F.3)  Is the economy recovering?
  193.  
  194. ======================================================================
  195.                                                  --1993 Projections--
  196.                                                   Bank of
  197.                                  1992 Actual      Thailand       IMF
  198. ----------------------------------------------------------------------
  199. Growth rates
  200. (Annual % change)
  201.  
  202. GDP                                  7.5             7.8         8.0
  203. Exports of goods and services       14.3            13.0        12.9
  204. Imports of goods and services       10.4            14.0        17.0
  205.  
  206. Investment-saving
  207. (% of GDP)
  208.  
  209. Investment                          36.7            37.5        37.5
  210.   Private                           27.6            27.8        27.8
  211.   Public                             9.1             9.7         9.7
  212.  
  213. Saving                              31.8            32.0        31.2
  214.   Private                           21.2            21.8        21.8
  215.   Public                            10.6            10.2         9.4
  216.  
  217. Current account deficit              6.4             6.8         7.7
  218. ======================================================================
  219.  
  220. ------------------------------
  221.  
  222. F.4)  Direction of Trade 1992 (million baht)
  223.  
  224. =================================================
  225.                            Exports       Imports
  226. -------------------------------------------------
  227. US                         184,234       135,480
  228. EC                         162,405       148,337
  229. Japan                      143,908       301,113
  230. ASEAN                      104,460       130,896
  231. Middle East                 39,004        33,965
  232. Eastern Europe              10,621         8,222
  233. Other countries            181,109       291,632
  234. =================================================
  235. (Source: Custom Department)
  236.  
  237. ------------------------------
  238.  
  239. F.5)  Four months' top exports
  240.  
  241. ==============================================================================
  242.                          Jan-Dec92  Jan-Dec93  Jan-Apr93  Jan-Apr93 Jan-Apr93
  243.                            Actual     Target     Actual   Estimates   Growth
  244. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  245. Garments                   86,798    112,500     26,124     26,393     1.03%
  246. Computer and components    57,728     60,000     16,777     19,000    13.25%
  247. Gems and jewellery         36,682     42,500     11,316     12,300     8.70%
  248. Integrated circuits        28,622     27,000      7,924     10,100    27.46%
  249. Rubber                     28,925     30,000      9,880      9,716    -1.66%
  250. Frozen shrimps/prawns      31,709     31,000      8,652      9,440     9.11%
  251. Footware                   25,642     27,500      8,611      9,350     8.58%
  252. Rice                       36,214     31,000     13,174      9,278   -29.57%
  253. Sugar                      18,920     15,340      8,374      7,280   -13.06%
  254. Canned seafood             24,435     24,810      7,308      7,260    -0.66%
  255. Tapioca                    29,613     23,580     10,062      7,130   -29.14%
  256. TVs and components         20,352     24,000      5,253      6,530    24.31%
  257. Plastic products           14,140     14,000      4,083      5,664    38.72%
  258. Cloth                      17,199     18,000      5,172      5,386     4.14%
  259. Videos audio equipment     15,935     19,500      4,885      5,190     6.24%
  260. Furniture and parts        11,473     14,000      3,457      4,185    21.06%
  261. Rubber products             9,223     10,000      2,849      3,283    15.23%
  262. Frozen chiken              10,399     13,500      4,170      3,140   -24.70%
  263. Airconditioning             7,343     10,000      2,570      3,100    20.62%
  264. Toys                        8,783     10,500      2,326      2,000   -14.02%
  265.  
  266. Total Top 20              520,135    558,730    162,967    165,725     1.69%
  267. Other exports             304,517    422,270     96,320    115,275    19.68%
  268.  
  269. Total exports             824,652    981,000    259,287    281,000     8.37%
  270. ==============================================================================
  271. (Source: Commerce Ministry)
  272.  
  273. ------------------------------
  274.  
  275. F.6)  Banks awarded Bangkok International Banking Facilities licenses
  276.  
  277. =======================================================================
  278. Thai Banks
  279.  
  280. Bangkok Bank                      Nakornthon Bank
  281. Bangkok Bank of Commerce          Siam City Bank
  282. Krung Thai Bank                   Bangkok Metropolitan Bank
  283. Bank of Ayudhya                   First Bangkok City Bank
  284. Thai Farmers Bank                 Union Bank of Bangkok
  285. Thai Military Bank                Laem Thong Bank
  286. Thai Danu Bank                    Bank of Asia
  287. Siam Commercial Bank
  288. -----------------------------------------------------------------------
  289. Foreign banks with Thai branches
  290.  
  291. Chase Manhattan Bank (US)         Bharat Oversea Bank (India)
  292. Sakura Bank (Japan)               Standard Chartered Bank (UK)
  293. Citibank (US)                     Bank of Tokyo (Japan)
  294. Security Pacific Asian Bank (HK)  Bank of America (US)
  295. Deutsche Bank (Germany)           Banque Indosuez (France)
  296. Four Seas Bank (Singapore)        Hong Kong and Shianghai Banking (HK)
  297. -----------------------------------------------------------------------
  298. Foreign banks without Thai branches
  299.  
  300. Bank of Nova Scotia (Canada)      Banque Nationale de Paris (France)
  301. Industrial Bank of Japan (Japan)  Societa Generale (France)
  302. Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan    Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken (Sweden)
  303.   (Japan)                         Dresdner Bank (Germany)
  304. Sumitomo Bank (Japan)             Bankers Trust Company (US)
  305. Sanwa Bank (Japan)                American Express Bank (US)
  306. Mitsubishi Bank (Japan)           Bank of New York (US)
  307. Dai-Ichi Kangyo Bank (Japan)      Korea Exchange Bank (Korea)
  308. Internationale Nederlanden Bank   Bank of China (China)
  309.   (Netherlands)                   Development Bank of Singapore
  310. ABN-AMRO Bank (Netherlands)         (Singapore)
  311. Credit Lyonnais (France)
  312. -----------------------------------------------------------------------
  313. Two foreign banks in Thailand that did not apply
  314.  
  315. The International Commercial Bank of Chian (Taiwan)
  316. United Malayan Bank (Malaysia)
  317. =======================================================================
  318.  
  319. ------------------------------
  320.  
  321. F.7)  Budget allocation
  322.  
  323. ================================================================
  324.                            Fiscal     Fiscal   Change from 1993
  325.                             1993       1994    ----------------
  326.                           (bt bn)    (bt bn)    (bt bn)     %
  327. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  328. Economic development       110.7      130.5       19.9    17.9%
  329.   Agriculture               48.7       59.9       11.2    23.0%
  330.   Industry & mining          1.9        2.1        0.2     9.9%
  331.   Transportation &
  332.     telecommunications      46.9       53.5        6.5    13.9%
  333.   Commerce & tourism         5.8        4.5       -1.3   -22.3%
  334.   Science, technology
  335.     energy & environment     7.3       10.5        3.2    44.5%
  336.  
  337. Social development         206.3      240.3       34.1    16.5%
  338.   Education                109.7      124.5       14.8    13.5%
  339.   Public health             36.5       44.4        7.8    21.5%
  340.   Social services           60.0       71.4       11.4    19.0%
  341.  
  342. Security                   114.3      125.4       11.0     9.6%
  343.   National security         89.0       95.2        6.3     7.1%
  344.   Interior security         25.4       30.1        4.7    18.6%
  345.  
  346. General administration      65.9       69.9        4.1     6.1%
  347.  
  348. Debt service                62.8       58.9       -4.0    -6.3%
  349. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  350. Total                      560.0      625.0       65.0    11.6%
  351. ================================================================
  352. (Source: Government House)
  353.  
  354. ------------------------------
  355.  
  356. F.8)  Budget structure
  357.  
  358. =================================================================
  359.                                Fiscal 1993         Fiscal 1994
  360.                            ------------------  ------------------
  361.                             (bt bn) Change(%)   (bt bn) Change(%)
  362. -----------------------------------------------------------------
  363. Expenditures                 560.0    21.6%      625.0    11.6%
  364. (% of GDP)                    17.9%               17.6%
  365.   Fixed expenses             351.1    16.3%      375.9     7.1%
  366.     % of total budget         62.7%               60.1%
  367.   Investment                 171.6    31.3%      213.5    24.4%
  368.     % of total budget         30.6%               34.2%
  369.   Debt service (pincipal)     37.3    33.7%       35.6    -4.5%
  370.     % of total budget          7.7%                5.7%
  371.  
  372. Revenue                      560.0    21.6%      625.0    11.6%
  373.   Income                     534.4    16.1%      600.0    12.3%
  374.   Borrow                      25.4      -         25.0    -2.3%
  375.  
  376. GDP                        3,130.0    11.8%    3,550.0    13.4%
  377. =================================================================
  378. (Source: Government House)
  379.  
  380. ------------------------------
  381.  
  382. F.9)  Current megaprojects
  383.  
  384. ===========================================================
  385.                                                      Cost
  386.         Project                  Due        Size     Bt M
  387. -----------------------------------------------------------
  388. Highway Department
  389.  
  390. Don Muang tollway               1994                10,000
  391.  
  392. Four-lane highways                                  45,900
  393.   North                       1994-98       647km   16,600
  394.   Northeast                   1993-99       231km    4,600
  395.   East                        1994-98       120km    3,000
  396.   South                       1994-98       893km   21,700
  397.  
  398. Bangkok-Chon Buri
  399.   motorway                      1996         82km   13,000
  400.  
  401. Outer Ring East
  402.   Bang Pa-In to Bang Plee       1996         63km   11,200
  403.  
  404. By-passes                                            2,546
  405.   Chiang Mai                    1996         34km      400
  406.   Ubon Ratchathani              1996         24km      300
  407.   Nakorn Ratchasima             1996         20km      180
  408.   Lampang                       1996          8km      100
  409.   Khon Kaen                     1997         50km      570
  410.   Phitsanulok                   1997         48km      530
  411.   Lop Buri                      1996         15km      200
  412.   Saraburi (E)                  1996          6km      210
  413.   Kanchanaburi                  1994          8km       56
  414. -----------------------------------------------------------
  415. State Railway of Thailand
  416.  
  417. Hopewell                      1992-99       50.1km  80,000
  418.  
  419. Dual-track railway
  420.   Suburban                                   234km   7,064
  421.   Others                                    2,744km 76,826
  422.  
  423. Container terminal                          620 rai  1,857
  424. -----------------------------------------------------------
  425. Airports Authority
  426.  
  427. Nong Ngu Hao Airport            1999     20,000 rai 107,000
  428.  
  429. Regional airport improvements
  430.   Chiang Mai, Hat Yai, Phuket   1998                 910.5
  431. -----------------------------------------------------------
  432. Civil Aviation Department
  433.  
  434. Regional airports                                    4,422
  435.   Rayong                        1994       45x2000m    513
  436.   Chumphon                      1996       45x1800m    522
  437.   Roi Et                        1997       45x2100m    570
  438.   Phetchaboon                   1996       46x2100m    537
  439.   Krabi                         1997       47x2100m    597
  440.   Buriram                       1996       48x2100m    531
  441.   Mae Sariang (postponed)         -            -        -
  442.   Nakhon Sri Thammarat          1997       50x2100m    615
  443.   Nakhon Ratchasima             1996       51x2100m    537
  444. -----------------------------------------------------------
  445. Telephone Organization of Thailand
  446.  
  447. Three-million telephones                 3 millions 116,090
  448.   Bangkok                     May 21,97  2 millions  77,800
  449.   Provinces                   Jun 30,97  1 million   38,290
  450.  
  451. Telephone installation
  452.   Bangkok                       Dec 93     363,950     759
  453.   Provinces                     Dec 93     260,590      88
  454. -----------------------------------------------------------
  455. Communications Authority of Thailand
  456.  
  457. Optical-fibre cable
  458.   (Thailand-Vietnam-HK)         1996                 2,600
  459. -----------------------------------------------------------
  460. Communications Ministry
  461.  
  462. Suburban freight years         1994-95               2,965
  463.   North-Rangsit                             200 rai    988
  464.   East-Bang Na                              200 rai    988
  465.   West-Bang Khae                            200 rai    988
  466.   Centre-Yannawa (cancelled)
  467. -----------------------------------------------------------
  468. Prime Minister's Office
  469.  
  470. Metropolitan Rapid Transit
  471.   Authority ("Skytrain")      end 1998       20km   49,000
  472. -----------------------------------------------------------
  473. Bangkok Metropolitan Administration
  474.  
  475. BMA-Tanayong                    1996                20,000
  476. ===========================================================
  477. (Sources: Communications Ministry, Bangkok Metropolitan
  478.   Administration, MRTA)
  479.  
  480. ------------------------------
  481.  
  482. F.10) Economic forecasts
  483.  
  484. The first entry is from Bangkok Post December 17 1993. The remaining tables
  485. are taken from The Nation's Midyear report "Thailand 2010: Which way do we
  486. grow?" July 1993.
  487.  
  488. 1994 forecasts comparison
  489.                                      Bank of
  490.                                     Thailand      NESDB       SCB       TDRI
  491. -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
  492. PER CAPITA INCOME           (Bt)        -        58,903     58,452        -
  493.  
  494. NATIONAL INCOME          (Bt Bn)        -         3,499      3,524.7      -
  495.  
  496. GROWTH:
  497. GDP at constant 1988 prices  (%)       7.8          8.2        8.0       8.6
  498. Agriculture                  (%)       2.0          3.0        3.0       2.5
  499.   Crops                      (%)       1.2           -          -         -
  500. Non-agriculture              (%)       8.6           -         8.7        -
  501.   Industry                   (%)      10.2         11.5        9.7       9.6
  502.   Construction               (%)      12.7          9.6         -         -
  503.   Services, others           (%)       8.0          8.2        7.6       9.2
  504.   Commerce                   (%)       6.4           -          -         -
  505.  
  506. CONSUMPTION                  (%)       5.9           -         7.4        -
  507. Private                      (%)       6.4          7.9        7.1        -
  508. Public                       (%)        -           7.5        9.0        -
  509.  
  510. INVESTMENT                   (%)      11.0           -         9.0      12.4
  511. Private                      (%)       6.9         11.0        8.1        -
  512. Public                       (%)      22.8         27.1       12.3        -
  513.  
  514. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
  515. Exports                  (Bt Bn)   1,042.0      1,047.0      999.8   1,031.6
  516.   Growth                     (%)      14.6         14.4       12.5      12.9
  517. Imports                  (Bt Bn)   1,320.0      1,340.0    1,274.5   1,325.7
  518.   Growth                     (%)      14.7         14.3       12.5      14.3
  519. Income from tourism      (Bt Bn)        -            -          -      160.6
  520.   Growth                     (%)        -            -          -       12.0
  521. Balance of trade         (Bt Bn)    -278.0       -221.3     -274.6    -294.1
  522.   % of GDP                   (%)        -          -8.4         -       -8.3
  523. Current account balance  (Bt Bn)    -223.0       -221.3     -226.8    -239.4
  524.   % of GDP                   (%)      -6.7         -6.3       -6.4      -6.8
  525. Balance of payments      (Bt Bn)      65.0           -        83.2        -
  526. Foreign exchange reserves ($ Bn)        -            -        28.5        -
  527. Long-term foreign debt/GDP ratio (%)    -            -          -       30.3
  528.  
  529. INFLATION                    (%)       4.0          4.0        4.0       4.3
  530.  
  531. INCOME DISTRIBUTION
  532. Richest 40%      (Income shares)        -            -          -       76.75%
  533. Poorest 60%      (Income shares)        -            -          -       23.25%
  534.  
  535. EXCHANGE RATE             (Bt/$)        -            -        25.40       -
  536.  
  537. DEPOSITS                 (Bt Bn)        -            -     2,822.6        -
  538.   Growth                     (%)      21.0                    19.0        -
  539.  
  540. CREDIT                   (Bt Bn)        -            -     3,138.8        -
  541.   Growth                     (%)      20.5                    21.0        -
  542.  
  543. CREDIT/DEPOSIT               (%)        -            -       111.2        -
  544.  
  545. GOVERNMENT FINANCE
  546. Cash surplus             (Bt Bn)       0.5         57.0         -         -
  547. Net revenue              (Bt Bn)        -         640.0         -         -
  548. Real expenditure         (Bt Bn)        -         583.0         -         -
  549.  
  550. AVERAGE OIL IMPORT PRICES($/bbl)     16-17           -        18.5        -
  551. -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
  552.  
  553. Sources: Bank of Thailand, National Economic and Social Development
  554.          Board, Siam Commercial Bank, Thailand Development Research
  555.          Institute
  556.  
  557. ------------------------------
  558.  
  559. F.11) Education levels
  560.  
  561. ------------------------------------------------------------------
  562. The education levels of the Thai workforce assuming that the
  563. Transition from Primary to Secondary is 100 per cent starting from
  564. 1992.
  565. ======================================
  566.                    1990   1995   2000
  567. --------------------------------------
  568. Primary/lower      83.2   78.9   71.8
  569. Lower Secondary     6.4    8.2   11.3
  570. Upper Secondary     2.5    3.3    4.6
  571. Vocational          2.7    3.2    4.3
  572. Tech. Vocational    1.3    1.7    2.4
  573. University          3.9    4.7    5.5
  574. --------------------------------------
  575. Source: Sussangkarn (1991c)/Thailand Development Research institute
  576.  
  577. ------------------------------
  578.  
  579. F.12) Education of the workforce
  580.  
  581. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  582. Workforce: Base case
  583. ================================================================
  584. Workforce ('000)  1992      1993      1994      1995      1996
  585. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  586. LEPRIME        27062.65  27247.51  27388.90  27461.44  27510.41
  587. LSECOND         2270.04   2385.23   2505.96   2639.53   2786.63
  588. USECOND          914.28    973.38   1031.28   1091.79   1156.71
  589. VOCAT            940.19    972.52   1008.81   1050.77   1098.70
  590. TECH.VOC         459.75    489.09    520.18    554.51    592.90
  591. UNIV            1376.74   1439.47   1503.36   1565.96   1629.94
  592. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  593. TOTAL          33023.65  33507.19  33958.49  34363.99  34775.28
  594. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  595. Workforce: Base case (cont)
  596. ================================================================
  597. Workforce ('000)  1997      1998      1999      2000      2001
  598. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  599. LEPRIME        27498.10  27437.97  27344.09  27231.29  27146.73
  600. LSECOND         2940.83   3098.02   3254.68   3402.34   3542.48
  601. USECOND         1226.84   1294.31   1370.37   1459.52   1564.62
  602. VOCAT           1150.00   1205.40   1267.40   1339.65   1424.17
  603. TECH.VOC         635.56    679.36    727.29    781.64    845.44
  604. UNIV            1695.95   1763.16   1835.08   1910.67   1994.61
  605. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  606. TOTAL          35147.28  35478.21  35798.90  36125.11  36518.04
  607. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  608. Workforce share by education
  609. ================================================================
  610. Share             1992      1993      1994      1995      1996
  611. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  612. LEPRIME          81.95     81.32     80.65     79.91     79.11
  613. LSECOND           6.87      7.12      7.38      7.68      8.01
  614. USECOND           2.77      2.90      3.04      3.18      3.33
  615. VOCAT             2.85      2.90      2.97      3.06      3.16
  616. TECH.VOC          1.39      1.46      1.53      1.61      1.70
  617. UNIV              4.17      4.30      4.43      4.56      4.69
  618. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  619. TOTAL           100.00    100.00    100.00    100.00    100.00
  620. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  621. Workforce share by education (cont)
  622. ================================================================
  623. Share             1997      1998      1999      2000      2001
  624. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  625. LEPRIME          78.24     77.34     76.38     75.38     74.34
  626. LSECOND           8.37      8.73      9.09      9.42      9.70
  627. USECOND           3.49      3.65      3.83      4.04      4.28
  628. VOCAT             3.27      3.40      3.54      3.71      3.90
  629. TECH.VOC          1.81      1.91      2.03      2.16      2.32
  630. UNIV              4.83      4.97      5.13      5.29      5.46
  631. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  632. TOTAL           100.00    100.00    100.00    100.00    100.00
  633. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  634.  
  635. ------------------------------
  636.  
  637. F.13) Growth rate of value added of services at constant 1972 prices
  638.  
  639. ==================================================
  640.                '92-'96  '97-'01  '02-'06  '07-'11
  641. --------------------------------------------------
  642. Northeast       6.35%    6.48%    5.76%    6.52%
  643. North           6.66%    6.84%    5.89%    6.68%
  644. South           6.76%    6.84%    6.05%    6.75%
  645. East           12.11%   11.53%    6.87%    7.44%
  646. West            7.57%    7.42%    6.20%    6.88%
  647. Central         6.70%    6.83%    6.02%    6.76%
  648. BMR             8.10%    7.59%    6.75%    7.41%
  649. --------------------------------------------------
  650. Whole Kingdom   7.82%    7.66%    6.43%    7.12%
  651. --------------------------------------------------
  652.  
  653. ------------------------------
  654.  
  655. F.14) Growth rate of value added of GDP at constant 1972 prices
  656.  
  657. ==================================================
  658.                '92-'96  '97-'01  '02-'06  '07-'11
  659. --------------------------------------------------
  660. Northeast       5.86%    5.94%    5.68%    6.15%
  661. North           5.81%    6.04%    5.69%    6.24%
  662. South           6.55%    6.50%    5.97%    6.39%
  663. East           12.87%   11.04%    8.45%    7.15%
  664. West            8.54%    7.84%    6.71%    6.61%
  665. Central         8.34%    8.19%    7.09%    6.86%
  666. BMR             8.66%    8.16%    7.34%    7.05%
  667. --------------------------------------------------
  668. Whole Kingdom   8.20%    7.88%    7.01%    6.83%
  669. --------------------------------------------------
  670.  
  671. ------------------------------
  672.  
  673. F.15) Growth rate of agricultural added value at constant 1972 prices
  674.  
  675. ==================================================
  676.                '92-'96  '97-'01  '02-'06  '07-'11
  677. --------------------------------------------------
  678. Northeast       3.98%    3.97%    4.21%    3.85%
  679. North           2.51%    2.80%    3.19%    3.61%
  680. South           2.68%    2.86%    3.07%    3.77%
  681. East            1.20%    1.33%    1.67%    3.04%
  682. West            4.43%    4.46%    4.66%    3.96%
  683. Central         1.44%    1.63%    1.88%    3.15%
  684. BMR             3.02%    3.30%    3.55%    3.64%
  685. --------------------------------------------------
  686. Whole Kingdom   2.98%    3.17%    3.48%    3.69%
  687. --------------------------------------------------
  688.  
  689. ------------------------------
  690.  
  691. F.16) Growth rate of industrial value added at constant 1972 prices
  692.  
  693. ==================================================
  694.                '92-'96  '97-'01  '02-'06  '07-'11
  695. --------------------------------------------------
  696. Northeast       7.09%    6.77%    7.15%    7.36%
  697. North           8.33%    7.66%    7.47%    7.21%
  698. South          10.60%    8.84%    7.70%    7.13%
  699. East           16.67%   11.94%   10.37%    7.19%
  700. West           12.41%    9.85%    7.98%    7.19%
  701. Central        11.97%   10.46%    8.45%    7.31%
  702. BMR             9.43%    8.82%    7.94%    6.81%
  703. --------------------------------------------------
  704. Whole Kingdom  10.36%    9.23%    8.26%    6.98%
  705. --------------------------------------------------
  706.  
  707. ------------------------------
  708.  
  709. F.17) Regional GDP (GRP) growth
  710.  
  711. ======================================================
  712.               7th Plan  8th Plan  9th Plan  10th Plan
  713.                '92-'96   '97-'01   '02-'06   '07-'11
  714. ------------------------------------------------------
  715. Northeast       5.86%     5.94%     5.68%     6.15%
  716. North           5.81%     6.04%     5.69%     6.24%
  717. South           6.55%     6.50%     5.97%     6.39%
  718. East           12.87%    11.04%     8.45%     7.15%
  719. West            8.54%     7.84%     6.71%     6.61%
  720. Central         8.34%     8.19%     7.09%     6.86%
  721. BMR             8.66%     8.16%     7.34%     7.05%
  722. ------------------------------------------------------
  723. Whole Kingdom   8.20%     7.88%     7.01%     6.83%
  724. ------------------------------------------------------
  725. Source: Thailand Development Research Institute
  726.  
  727. ------------------------------
  728.  
  729. F.18) Population growth rate by gender
  730.  
  731. ================================================================
  732.                      Population
  733. Year             (Thousand persons)      Natural Increase rates
  734.                Total    Male  Female     Total    Male   Female
  735. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  736. 1991          56,923  28,530  28,393      1.46    1.47    1.48
  737. 1992          57,760  28,948  28,812      1.42    1.43    1.43
  738. 1993          58,584  29,361  29,223      1.38    1.38    1.39
  739. 1994          59,396  29,767  29,629      1.35    1.36    1.37
  740. 1995          60,206  30,172  30,034      1.32    1.33    1.33
  741. 1996          61,005  30,573  30,432      1.29    1.29    1.29
  742. 1997          61,794  30,968  30,826      1.26    1.26    1.27
  743. 1998          62,575  31,358  31,217      1.23    1.24    1.23
  744. 1999          63,349  31,747  31,602      1.20    1.19    1.21
  745. 2000          64,110  32,126  31,984      1.17    1.20    1.20
  746. ----------------------------------------------------------------
  747. Source: Population Projection for Thailand 1980-2015, Office of the
  748.         National Economic and Social Development Board, Office of
  749.         the Prime Minister
  750.  
  751. ------------------------------
  752.  
  753. F.19) Electricity generating capacity for each consumer group
  754.  
  755. ========================================================================
  756. Fiscal                                                 Losses &   Total
  757. Year         Residential Business Industrial   Other Station Use  (GWh)
  758. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
  759. Average % growth
  760. 1987-1991       13.67      16.74     15.57     9.88     13.18     14.71
  761. 1992-1996       11.12      13.42     11.25     5.94     10.00     11.25
  762. 1997-2001        8.43       8.53      8.20     5.12      7.98      8.16
  763. 2002-2006        6.87       6.39      6.55     4.22      6.19      6.43
  764. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
  765.  
  766. ------------------------------
  767.  
  768. F.20) Tourism targets
  769.  
  770. -----------------------------------------------------------------
  771. The following are government targets for tourism development
  772. during the Seventh National Economic and Social Development Plan,
  773. 1992-96
  774. =================================================================
  775.           Int'l Visitors    Night     Expenditure    Est. Income
  776. Year         (million)      Stays     (Bt per day)    (billion)
  777. -----------------------------------------------------------------
  778. 1992            6.0          7.8         3,300          154.4
  779. 1993            6.5          7.8         3,450          174.9
  780. 1994            7.1          7.8         3,650          202.1
  781. 1995            7.7          7.8         3,850          231.2
  782. 1996            8.4          7.8         5,050          265.4
  783. -----------------------------------------------------------------
  784. Source: TAT
  785.  
  786. ------------------------------
  787.  
  788. F.21) Tourist forecast
  789.  
  790. --------------------------------------------------------------
  791. The following is EIU's forecast for the numbers of
  792. international travellers to Thailand based on data from the
  793. years 1988 to 1990.
  794. ==============================================================
  795.                     Arrivals('000)
  796. Origins                 1988          1990      1995     2000
  797. --------------------------------------------------------------
  798. UNCONSTRAINED
  799. Australia                145           180       250      350
  800. Hong Kong                380           500       700      625
  801. Indonesia                 36            40        50       70
  802. Japan                    452           550       825      925
  803. South Korea               64           100       200      350
  804. Malaysia                 843         1,150     1,950    2,800
  805. Philippines               42            50        60       70
  806. Singapore                276           425       725    1,000
  807. Taiwan                   233           500     1,275    1,800
  808. TOTAL OF ABOVE         2,471         3,500     5,900    8,000
  809. Canada                    51            80       140      230
  810. USA                      237           350       525      700
  811. Europe                   906         1,350     2,150    3,000
  812. EUROPE, N.AMERICA      1,194         1,775     2,825    3,925
  813. Other origin countries   566           750     1,100      550
  814. TOTAL UNCONSTRAINED    4,231         6,000     9,850   13,500
  815. Constraints net           -           -400      -850   -1,450
  816. TOTAL                  4,231         5,600     9,000   12,050
  817. --------------------------------------------------------------
  818. Source: EIU
  819.  
  820. ------------------------------
  821.  
  822. F.22) Domestic domputer market
  823.  
  824. Data compiled from Prachachart Thurakit, Siam Post and Bangkok Post.
  825. October 1993.
  826.  
  827. Market size
  828.  
  829. =========================================================================
  830.                 1990         1991             1992           1993
  831.              --------- ---------------- ---------------- ----------------
  832.                Value     Value  Growth    Value  Growth    Value  Growth
  833.               M Baht    M Baht     %     M Baht     %     M Baht     %
  834. -------------------------------------------------------------------------
  835. Mainframe     1,675.0   2,000.0  19.40   4,624.0 131.20   3,788.0 (18.08)
  836.   Hardware                               2,312.0          1,994.0
  837.   SW/Svcs                                2,312.0          1,794.0
  838. Minicomputer  2,300.0   2,500.0   8.70   2,883.0  15.32   5,629.4  92.26
  839.   Hardware                               1,730.0          2,786.6
  840.   SW/Svcs                                1,153.0          2,842.8
  841. Workstation      70.0     180.0 157.40     504.0 180.00   1,110.1  39.19
  842.   Hardware                                 252.0            385.1
  843.   SW/Svcs                                  252.0            725.0
  844. PC            4,855.3   5,914.3  21.81   8,302.0  40.37  11,472.6  38.19
  845.   Hardware                               7,728.0         10,236.4
  846.   SW/Svcs                                  564.0          1,236.2
  847. -------------------------------------------------------------------------
  848. Total         8,900.3  10,594.3  19.03  16,313.0  53.98  22,000.1  34.86
  849.   Hardware                              12,032.0         15,402.1
  850.   SW/Svcs                                4,281.0          6,598.0
  851. -------------------------------------------------------------------------
  852. Sources: Computer Association of Thailand -- Vendor Group (CATVG) and
  853.          Association of Thai Computer Industry (ATCI)
  854.  
  855.  
  856. Random predictions
  857.  
  858. ATCI: 1993 market breakdown
  859.                                  Unit     Value
  860.                                  Sold    M Baht
  861.  
  862.        Mainframe                   35     1,533
  863.        Minicomputer               778     2,537.6
  864.        Workstation                517       377.41
  865.        PC                                 6,384
  866.          Brand (imported)       81000     4,008
  867.          No brand (local made)  69000     2,376
  868.            486dx      50.8 %
  869.            486sx      35.0 %
  870.            386dx       7.6 %
  871.            386sx       6.7 %
  872.        Hard disk               120000     1,230
  873.        Monitor                  70000       552
  874.          B&W          18.6 %
  875.          Color        81.4 %
  876.        Software and Services              6,598
  877.          Software            59.7 %
  878.          Network              8.1 %
  879.          Installation/MIS    31.5 %
  880.          DP/Service Bureau    0.7 %
  881.  
  882.        Total market                      22,000.11
  883.          Mainframe & Info Services        3,788
  884.          Minicomputer & Info Services     5,629.4
  885.          Workstation                      1,110.11
  886.          PC                              11,472.6
  887.  
  888. IBM Thailand: 1993 market breakdown
  889.  
  890.    - Total market: 22,000 million Baht
  891.    - Growth over 1992: 35%
  892.    - 46% of total market is minicomputer
  893.       x  Enjoys 47% growth rate
  894.       x  Average prices: 1992    1.7 million Baht
  895.                          1993H1  1.4 million Baht
  896.                          1993H2  2.3 million Baht
  897.    - PC and peripherals: 11,000 million Baht
  898.  
  899. Datamat: 1993 software and services market
  900.  
  901.    - Software and services (S&S) has 30% share from the total market
  902.    - Anticipated at 54% share by the year 2000
  903.    - S&S sales will jump from 6 billion Baht this year to 23 billion by
  904.      2000 A.D.
  905.    - Software alone is 2.6 billion now and 16 billion in the year 2000
  906.    - S&S : Hardware ratio is 30:70
  907.    - In the year 2000, the ratio will be 40:60
  908.  
  909. Microsoft Thailand: PC market
  910.  
  911.    - Predict more offerings on services, training and after-sales support
  912.    - Regional market size
  913.        Singapore    89,000 units
  914.        Hong Kong   105,000
  915.        Thailand    150,000
  916.        Taiwan      570,000
  917.        Korea       860,000
  918.  
  919. ==============================================================================
  920.  
  921. Acknowledgements
  922.  
  923. Information in this part was passed on by Trin Tantsetthi
  924. (trin@nwg.nectec.or.th) from various sources in Thailand.
  925.  
  926.